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Inflation Hits a 4-Year Low, But Mortgage Rates Are Acting Up

Inflation Hits a 4-Year Low, But Mortgage Rates Are Acting Up

The latest inflation numbers just came in, and it looks like we’re still heading in the right direction. The annual inflation rate dropped to 2.4% year over year, down from 2.8% in February. That’s the lowest it’s been in four years, and the Feds continue to aim for a 2% inflation goal in order to cut interest rates again. The primary reason for this drop is being credited to a decline in gas prices, which helped ease pressure in multiple areas.
 
Meanwhile, core inflation, which filters out food and energy prices for a clearer view of long-term inflation trends, also moved lower and just hit its lowest point since March 2021. That's a strong sign that inflation is cooling more broadly.
 
On the flip side, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped to 4.34% from 4.06% just 7 days ago. That spike is most likely tied to the recent volatility around trade tensions, the stock market, and policy uncertainty in Washington. Since mortgage rates typically follow this number, I wouldn’t expect interest rates to be all that predictable right now.
 
Sources:  CNBC | Federal Reserve Bank
 
Joseph D. Charles
 
Licensed NJ Real Estate Agent
 
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